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Demographic Forecasting - Federico Girosi,Gary King

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2008-08-24
77,88 € 119,81 €

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"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the be ... Visas aprašymas

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"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the best alternatives available. The techniques have wide applicability."--Germán Rodríguez, Princeton University

"This book is excellent and important."--Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley

Daugiau informacijos

Autorius Federico Girosi, Gary King
Leidėjas Princeton University Press
Išleidimo metai 2008
Viršelio tipas Minkšti viršeliai
EAN 9780691130958
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77,88 € 119,81 €